Win totals calculated by tackling each game individually and evaluating it on a scale of 0-1, rounding to the nearest tenth, then adding them all together and determining estimated wins.
All energy storages having been thoroughly emptied in the construction of a project that is inherently immune to accuracy and susceptible to immediate and all-encompassing validation in the event of a single major injury, I request only that you forgive the absence of an introduction and labor to uncover the secrets of this violently unambiguous/intuitive information dump sans extensive guidance. Trust me, I believe in you.
Patriots
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | PIT (1) | NYJ (3) | NYG (6) | CLE (8) | DAL (12) | KC (14) | BUF (16) | MIA (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6.5 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | MIA (2) | BUF (4) | WAS (5) | NYJ (7) | BAL (9) | PHI (11) | HOU (13) | CIN (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 5.3 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 11.8
Bills
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | CIN (3) | NE (4) | MIA (7) | PHI (8) | WAS (9) | DEN (12) | BAL (14) | NYJ (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.7 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | NYJ (1) | NYG (2) | TEN (5) | CLE (10) | MIA (11) | DAL (13) | PIT (15) | NE (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 7.2
Jets
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | BUF (1) | CLE (2) | DAL (6) | NE (7) | NYG (10) | OAK (12) | MIA (14) | PIT (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 3.0 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | NE (3) | PHI (5) | JAX (8) | MIA (9) | WAS (11) | CIN (13) | BAL (15) | BUF (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 5.7
Dolphins
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | BAL (1) | NE (2) | LAC (4) | WAS (6) | NYJ (9) | BUF (11) | PHI (13) | CIN (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | DAL (3) | BUF (5) | PIT (8) | IND (10) | CLE (12) | NYJ (14) | NYG (15) | NE (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 3.5
Steelers
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | SEA (2) | CIN (4) | BAL (5) | MIA (8) | IND (9) | LAR (10) | CLE (13) | BUF (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 4.7 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | NE (1) | SF (3) | LAC (6) | CLE (11) | CIN (12) | ARI (14) | NYJ (16) | BAL (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 4.1 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 8.8
Browns
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | TEN (1) | LAR (3) | SEA (6) | BUF (10) | PIT (11) | MIA (12) | CIN (14) | BAL (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.8 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | NYJ (2) | BAL (4) | SF (5) | NE (8) | DEN (9) | PIT (13) | ARI (15) | CIN (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.0 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 7.8
Ravens
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | ARI (2) | CLE (4) | CIN (6) | NE (9) | HOU (11) | SF (13) | NYJ (15) | PIT (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 4.9 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | MIA (1) | KC (3) | PIT (5) | SEA (7) | CIN (10) | LAR (12) | BUF (14) | CLE (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.8 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 8.7
Bengals
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | SF (2) | ARI (5) | JAX (7) | BAL (10) | PIT (12) | NYJ (13) | NE (15) | CLE (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 4.5 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | SEA (1) | BUF (3) | PIT (4) | BAL (6) | LAR (8) | OAK (11) | CLE (14) | MIA (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.4 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 7.9
Texans
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | JAX (2) | CAR (4) | ATL (5) | OAK (8) | IND (12) | NE (13) | DEN (14) | TEN (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 4.8 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | NO (1) | LAC (3) | KC (6) | IND (7) | JAX (9) | BAL (11) | TEN (15) | TB (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3.5 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 8.3
Titans
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | IND (2) | BUF (5) | LAC (6) | TB (8) | KC (10) | JAX (12) | HOU (15) | NO (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4.3 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | CLE (1) | JAX (3) | ATL (4) | DEN (7) | CAR (9) | IND (13) | OAK (14) | HOU (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 4.5 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 8.8
Colts
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | ATL (3) | OAK (4) | HOU (7) | DEN (8) | MIA (10) | JAX (11) | TEN (13) | CAR (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 4.7 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | LAC (1) | TEN (2) | KC (5) | PIT (9) | HOU (12) | TB (14) | NO (15) | JAX (17) | TOT |
| WIn EV | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 7.5
Jaguars
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | KC (1) | TEN (3) | NO (6) | NYJ (8) | HOU (9) | TB (13) | LAC (14) | IND (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.4 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | HOU (2) | DEN (4) | CAR (5) | CIN (7) | IND (11) | TEN (12) | OAK (15) | ATL (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.8 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 6.2
Chiefs
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | BAL (3) | IND (5) | HOU (6) | GB (8) | MIN (9) | OAK (13) | DEN (15) | LAC (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | JAX (1) | OAK (2) | DET (4) | DEN (7) | TEN (10) | LAC (11) | NE (14) | CHI (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 5.3 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 11.0
Chargers
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | IND (1) | HOU (3) | DEN (5) | PIT (6) | GB (9) | KC (11) | MIN (15) | OAK (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4.8 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | DET (2) | MIA (4) | TEN (7) | CHI (8) | OAK (10) | DEN (13) | JAX (14) | KC (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 4.4 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 9.2
Broncos
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | CHI (2) | JAX (4) | TEN (6) | KC (7) | CLE (9) | LAC (13) | DET (16) | OAK (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 4.2 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | OAK (1) | GB (3) | LAC (5) | IND (8) | MIN (11) | BUF (12) | HOU (14) | KC (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 6.9
Raiders
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | DEN (1) | KC (2) | CHI (5) | DET (9) | LAC (10) | CIN (11) | TEN (14) | JAX (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.1 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | MIN (3) | IND (4) | GB (7) | HOU (8) | NYJ (12) | KC (13) | LAC (16) | DEN (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.8 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 4.9
Eagles
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | WAS (1) | DET (3) | NYJ (5) | CHI (9) | NE (11) | SEA (12) | NYG (14) | DAL (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6.3 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | ATL (2) | GB (4) | MIN (6) | DAL (7) | BUF (8) | MIA (13) | WAS (15) | NYG (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5.1 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 12.4
Cowboys
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | NYG (1) | MIA (3) | GB (5) | PHI (7) | MIN (10) | BUF (13) | LAR (15) | WAS (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 5.3 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | WAS (2) | NO (4) | NYJ (6) | NYG (9) | DET (11) | NE (12) | CHI (14) | PHI (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.7 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 9.0
Redskins
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | DAL (2) | CHI (3) | NE (5) | SF (7) | NYJ (11) | DET (12) | PHI (15) | NYG (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.4 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | PHI (1) | NYG (4) | MIA (6) | MIN (8) | BUF (9) | CAR (13) | GB (14) | DAL (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.9 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 6.3
Giants
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | BUF (2) | WAS (4) | MIN (5) | ARI (7) | DAL (9) | GB (13) | MIA (15) | PHI (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.9 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | DAL (1) | TB (3) | NE (6) | DET (8) | NYJ (10) | CHI (12) | PHI (14) | WAS (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 4.9
Vikings
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | ATL (1) | OAK (3) | PHI (6) | WAS (8) | DEN (11) | DET (14) | GB (16) | CHI (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 5.7 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | GB (2) | CHI (4) | NYG (5) | DET (7) | KC (9) | DAL (10) | SEA (13) | LAC (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.2 |
EXPECTED WINS: 9.9
Packers
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | MIN (2) | DEN (3) | PHI (4) | DET (6) | OAK (7) | CAR (10) | WAS (14) | CHI (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 5.0 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | CHI (1) | DAL (5) | KC (8) | LAC (9) | SF (12) | NYG (13) | MIN (16) | DET (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 4.7 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 9.7
Bears
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | GB (1) | MIN (4) | NO (7) | LAC (8) | DET (10) | NYG (12) | DAL (14) | KC (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 4.3 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | DEN (2) | WAS (3) | OAK (5) | PHI (9) | LAR (11) | DET (13) | GB (15) | MIN (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 4.3 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 8.6
Lions
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | LAC (2) | KC (4) | MIN (7) | NYG (8) | DAL (11) | CHI (13) | TB (15) | GB (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 4.1 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | ARI (1) | PHI (3) | GB (6) | OAK (9) | CHI (10) | WAS (12) | MIN (14) | DEN (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 (TIE) | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.1 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 7.2 (plus a tie)
Saints
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | HOU (1) | DAL (4) | TB (5) | ARI (8) | ATL (10) | CAR (12) | SF (14) | IND (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6.7 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | LAR (2) | SEA (3) | JAX (6) | CHI (7) | TB (11) | ATL (13) | TEN (16) | CAR (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.0 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 11.7
Falcons
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | PHI (2) | TEN (4) | LAR (7) | SEA (8) | TB (12) | NO (13) | CAR (14) | JAX (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 4.5 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | MIN (1) | IND (3) | HOU (5) | ARI (6) | NO (10) | CAR (11) | SF (15) | TB (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4.2 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 8.7
Panthers
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | LAR (1) | TB (2) | JAX (5) | TEN (9) | ATL (11) | WAS (13) | SEA (15) | NO (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.0 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | ARI (3) | HOU (4) | TB (6) | SF (8) | GB (10) | NO (12) | ATL (14) | IND (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 6.6
Bucs
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | SF (1) | NYG (3) | CAR (6) | ARI (10) | NO (11) | IND (14) | HOU (16) | ATL (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | CAR (2) | LAR (4) | NO (5) | TEN (8) | SEA (9) | ATL (12) | JAX (13) | DET (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 5.2
Rams
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | NO (2) | TB (4) | SF (6) | CIN (8) | CHI (11) | BAL (12) | SEA (14) | ARI (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5.8 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | CAR (1) | CLE (3) | SEA (5) | ATL (7) | PIT (10) | ARI (13) | DAL (15) | SF (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 5.9 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 11.6
Seahawks
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | CIN (1) | NO (3) | LAR (5) | BAL (7) | TB (9) | MIN (13) | ARI (16) | SF (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 5.4 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | PIT (2) | ARI (4) | CLE (6) | ATL (8) | SF (10) | PHI (12) | LAR (14) | CAR (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 4.1 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 9.5
49ers
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | PIT (3) | CLE (5) | CAR (8) | SEA (10) | ARI (11) | GB (12) | ATL (15) | LAR (16) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.2 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | TB (1) | CIN (2) | LAR (6) | WAS (7) | ARI (9) | BAL (13) | NO (14) | SEA (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3.3 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 6.5
Cardinals
- HOME GAMES
| Opp | DET (1) | CAR (3) | SEA (4) | ATL (6) | SF (9) | LAR (13) | PIT (14) | CLE (15) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.0 (TIE) | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.8 |
- ROAD GAMES
| Opp | BAL (2) | CIN (5) | NYG (7) | NO (8) | TB (10) | SF (11) | SEA (16) | LAR (17) | TOT |
| Win EV | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 |
- EXPECTED WINS: 4.0
AFC EAST
Patriots: 11.8
Bills: 7.2
Jets: 5.7
Dolphins: 3.5
AFC NORTH
Steelers: 8.8
Ravens: 8.7
Bengals: 7.9
Browns: 7.8
AFC SOUTH
Titans: 8.8
Texans: 8.3
Colts; 7.5
Jaguars: 6.2
AFC WEST
Chiefs: 11.0
Chargers: 9.2
Broncos: 6.9
Raiders: 4.9
PROJECTED PLAYOFF PICTURE
#1 seed: Patriots
#2 seed: Chiefs
#3 seed: Titans (win tiebreaker through better estimated win total against AFC)
#4 seed: Steelers
#5 seed: Chargers
#6 seed: Ravens
NEAR MISSES: Texans, Bengals, Browns
NFC EAST
Eagles: 12.4
Cowboys: 9.0
Redskins: 6.3
Giants: 4.9
NFC NORTH
Vikings: 9.9
Packers: 9.7
Bears: 8.6
Lions: 7.2 (plus a tie)
NFC SOUTH
Saints: 11.7
Falcons: 8.7
Panthers: 6.6
Bucs: 5.2
NFC WEST
Rams: 11.6
Seahawks: 9.5
49ers: 6.5
Cardinals: 4.0 (plus a tie)
PROJECTED PLAYOFF PICTURE
#1 seed: Eagles
#2 seed: Saints
#3 seed: Rams
#4 seed: Vikings
#5 seed: Packers
#6 seed: Seahawks
NEAR MISSES: Cowboys, Falcons, Bears
The Crux 